Parag reengineered the concept from the 1970s three worlds theory (the two superpowers tucson mall

Parag Khanna tucson mall stores , 32, a current tucson mall stores new-yorker born in Kanpur, Uttar Pradesh, India, raised in the Emirates and in Germany, a globetrotter, surprised the geopolitical community last year with a book entitled The Second World (translated into over a dozen languages).
Parag reengineered the concept from the 1970s three worlds theory (the two superpowers tucson mall stores US and Soviet Union, the rest of the capitalist OECD countries, and the Third World). He also imported for geopolitics the image of swing states (battleground electoral states) from the US presidential politics and coined the term “geopolitical marketplace” to refer to the dynamic where the first world superpowers, the current three empires (US, EU and China), compete for the influence of the swing states of the second world (where he include the three other BRIC Brazil, Russia and India).
The author compares the three empires to three big spiders trying to involve the swing states in its particular tucson mall stores webs. These swing states are located in pivotal regions of the globe. It s a new image of the great power politics of the 21 st Century first decades.
QUESTION: You refer the geopolitical hypothesis of a great power web of three spiders. Let’s name it a G3 for US, China and European Union. tucson mall stores Is this a wishful thinking, a solid near future scenario or even current reality? Can we see this troika working inside and on the backyards of the G20 meetings and summits? Most people tucson mall stores say that it is a G2 (US-China informal axis) that we can see working in the G20 dynamics…
ANSWER: I believe we already live in a multi-polar world but it is different from the 19th and 20th centuries because it is multi-cultural as well as multi-polar. It is also truly global, not just through European colonies tucson mall stores but genuinely geographically distributed worldwide. So the order may be similarly unstable, but it is certainly on a much larger scale as well
QUESTION: Goldman Sachs in 2001 invented the BRIC concept for the four emergent markets. Today people comment that the group is a real geopolitical entity maneuvering with success for the emergence of the G20 during the Great Depression and the eclipse of the G7. Others say that the BRIC is an axis of opportunity, not a strategic one. What is your comment?
ANSWER: The “BRIC” label doesn’t really make sense since the four countries act very independently tucson mall stores and have different growth and development trajectories, and different geopolitical ambitions. Just look at how some people have also begun to drop Russia from the “BRIC” concept. Also, their aggregate growth and economic size does not mean that the G-7 will be replaced. It simply adds to the complexity of the global economy and geopolitics
QUESTION: You refer a new second world of swing states, a second tucson mall stores layer after the G3 great powers. Who will win the future, say in 2020 or 2030, depends on this swinging dance in the geopolitical marketplace (as you coined). What are your forecasts particularly for the three other BRIC – India, Russia and Brazil?
ANSWER: Each will have a different fate. Russia will for demographic and economic reasons be more integrated into Europe, and may have ceded territory to China. Brazil will be a great power and have influence in emerging markets across Asia and Africa. India will be a naval swing power between the Middle East and Far East, which will be dominated by China
QUESTION: Certainly most readers will react to the idea that Russia is in the second layer. It has nuclear capacity, strategic resources and a past (Soviet Union). In the book you designed two scenarios for Russia: an almost annex of Europe or a vassal of China. Russia is bluffing today?
ANSWER: Today Russia is indeed bluffing, but it in fact no longer does this either. It is acting more pragmatically now. [The new President] Medvedev is leading an effort to find a more modest role for Russia with respect to Europe, America, and China.
QUESTION: Referring to the vast majority of the second world (a significant part in the G20, in economic terms), it seems we will assist to an ad hoc dance. As you said, they will dance with one or two of the Big Three over a given issue, but then with another over another issue. You mean a variable geometry? No one of the Big Three will assume (or reassume) hegemony easily?
QUESTION: Due to this swinging status and the power politics involved, this will mean critical problems and turbulence in certain regions of the globe. Which of them you will refer as the most “hot” in the future?
ANSWER: I think the Persian Gulf region and East Africa as well as the Indian Ocean will be an ever more prominent theater tucson mall stores of rivalry given the volume of energy supplies and trade which flow through the waters there.
ANSWER: tucson mall stores The third world will benefit tremendously from the second world’s economic growth – which is already happening due to